“It is important to be open minded, but not so open minded that one’s brain falls out.” – Richard Feynman
I pride myself on being open-minded. Whenever I start an analysis, I start with the assumption that everything I know is wrong until I prove otherwise. That drives an open-minded approach. When facts disagree with my position, I adjust my position to match the facts. Equally, however, if the facts disagree with the position that counters my beliefs I maintain the position that matches the facts. Examples of this approach can be seen in various hot-button issues in today’s news.
Take the issue of a man claiming he is a woman. Is he a woman? (Look, this is not a new issue, especially in sports. In the 1950s-1970s there were a lot of dodgy women in Communist Olympic teams.) Does he have the genetic makeup of a woman (XX vs XY chromosomes)? What physical characteristics does he possess? A vagina or a penis? There are physical tests and examinations which can be conducted to determine the issue. Let the facts speak.
Note this does not address whether the man truly believes he is a woman. That is a different issue. After all, someone can truly believe that he is a member of the Alamo garrison who has escaped from the Mexican Army and that the fellow in a blue uniform he shot while trying to escape was a member of Santa Anna’s army and that his action was a legitimate act of war. (Assuming he can convince 12 other Texans that is what he truly believed, the end result will be a stay in the Rusk State Hospital rather than Huntsville Prison.) You can make the facts fit that.
What if you actually believe that man really was a member of the Texian Army, rather than that he believed he was? Well, I could make a good case your brain has fallen out. Similarly, if the individual born as Bruce Jenner wants to call himself Caitlyn and believe himself a woman, I am willing to call him Caitlyn and concede he does believe himself to be a woman. But that won’t change the fact that he possesses XY chromosomes.
Another example can be found in the Ukrainian War. Based on the facts pre-war, it was a reasonable expectation that Ukraine would become part of Russia within a week of the Russian Federation Army invading. If you looked at the size of the two militaries, the two countries, and the resources available prior to the war this seemed obvious.
Two days in, it became obvious that certain items presented as “facts” prior to the war were instead opinions. Two months in we have a different set of facts. The reputation of the Russian military seems to have been built on a foundation of Maskirovka, including perhaps self-deception. The capabilities of the Ukrainian army seem to have been underestimated.
That does not mean the Russian Army is worthless or Ukraine is bound to win. That is substituting sets of misconceptions. That also is being so open-minded your brain has fallen out. The Russian army is still formidable, and for Ukraine to “win” requires them to remove the Russian Army from their territory. That is possible, but it will not be easy. Then again, in February I would not have even conceded the possibility of Ukraine ejecting Russia from the territories controlled by Ukraine in January. Even today I do not see it as much more than a bare possibility. But I do intend to keep an open mind on the subject.
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